A Simple Tool for Making Better Forecasts

Don Moore; Uriel Haran

A Simple Tool for Making Better Forecasts

Department of Management

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article

Abstract

The article discusses a study that developed a forecasting method called SPIES (Subjective Probability Interval EStimates) which computes range forecasts from a series of probability estimates rather than from two point predictions, as well as the advantages of its application in business.

Original language	English
Pages (from-to)	2-4
Journal	Harvard Business Review
State	Published - 19 May 2014

Keywords

Forecasting methodology
Business forecasting
Probability theory

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https://hbr.org/2014/05/a-simple-tool-for-making-better-forecasts

Cite this

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title = "A Simple Tool for Making Better Forecasts",

abstract = "The article discusses a study that developed a forecasting method called SPIES (Subjective Probability Interval EStimates) which computes range forecasts from a series of probability estimates rather than from two point predictions, as well as the advantages of its application in business.",

keywords = "Forecasting methodology, Business forecasting, Probability theory",

author = "Don Moore and Uriel Haran",

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pages = "2--4",

journal = "Harvard Business Review",

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AU - Haran, Uriel

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KW - Business forecasting

KW - Probability theory

M3 - Article

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EP - 4

JO - Harvard Business Review

JF - Harvard Business Review

ER -

A Simple Tool for Making Better Forecasts

Abstract

Keywords

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Cite this