TY - JOUR
T1 - Earthquake forecast based on its nucleation stages and the ensuing electromagnetic radiations
AU - Frid, V.
AU - Rabinovitch, A.
AU - Bahat, D.
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
© 2019 Elsevier B.V.
PY - 2020/2/6
Y1 - 2020/2/6
N2 - A schematic spatial model of an earthquake nucleation is analyzed, and the three stages of the process are identified. Accordingly, the electromagnetic radiations emitted by the fracturing phenomena accompanying each stage are analyzed and it is demonstrated, that the changes of parameters in the persistent specific shape of these radiations during the stages are significant. Specifically, we analyze radiation changes in frequency, directionality and amplitude together with their relations to the fractures' properties across the nucleation process. These results allow us to present a possible method of forecasting, several hours before earthquakes of large magnitudes.
AB - A schematic spatial model of an earthquake nucleation is analyzed, and the three stages of the process are identified. Accordingly, the electromagnetic radiations emitted by the fracturing phenomena accompanying each stage are analyzed and it is demonstrated, that the changes of parameters in the persistent specific shape of these radiations during the stages are significant. Specifically, we analyze radiation changes in frequency, directionality and amplitude together with their relations to the fractures' properties across the nucleation process. These results allow us to present a possible method of forecasting, several hours before earthquakes of large magnitudes.
KW - Earthquake
KW - Electromagnetic phenomenon
KW - Forecast
KW - Fracture nucleation
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85075460101&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1016/j.physleta.2019.126102
DO - 10.1016/j.physleta.2019.126102
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:85075460101
SN - 0375-9601
VL - 384
JO - Physics Letters, Section A: General, Atomic and Solid State Physics
JF - Physics Letters, Section A: General, Atomic and Solid State Physics
IS - 4
M1 - 126102
ER -