Earthquake forecast based on its nucleation stages and the ensuing electromagnetic radiations

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4 Scopus citations

Abstract

A schematic spatial model of an earthquake nucleation is analyzed, and the three stages of the process are identified. Accordingly, the electromagnetic radiations emitted by the fracturing phenomena accompanying each stage are analyzed and it is demonstrated, that the changes of parameters in the persistent specific shape of these radiations during the stages are significant. Specifically, we analyze radiation changes in frequency, directionality and amplitude together with their relations to the fractures' properties across the nucleation process. These results allow us to present a possible method of forecasting, several hours before earthquakes of large magnitudes.

Original languageEnglish
Article number126102
JournalPhysics Letters, Section A: General, Atomic and Solid State Physics
Volume384
Issue number4
DOIs
StatePublished - 6 Feb 2020

Keywords

  • Earthquake
  • Electromagnetic phenomenon
  • Forecast
  • Fracture nucleation

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Physics and Astronomy (all)

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