Estimated number of deaths directly averted in people 60 years and older as a result of COVID-19 vaccination in the WHO European Region, December 2020 to November 2021

Margaux M.I. Meslé, Jeremy Brown, Piers Mook, José Hagan, Roberta Pastore, Nick Bundle, Gianfranco Spiteri, Giovanni Ravasi, Nathalie Nicolay, Nick Andrews, Tetiana Dykhanovska, Joël Mossong, Małgorzata Sadkowska-Todys, Raina Nikiforova, Flavia Riccardo, Hinta Meijerink, Clara Mazagatos, Jan Kyncl, Jim McMenamin, Tanya MelilloStella Kaoustou, Daniel Lévy-Bruhl, Freek Haarhuis, Rivka Rich, Meaghan Kall, Dorit Nitzan, Catherine Smallwood, Richard G. Pebody

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

87 Scopus citations

Abstract

Since December 2019, over 1.5 million SARS-CoV-2-related fatalities have been recorded in the World Health Organization European Region - 90.2% in peo­ple≥60 years. We calculated lives saved in this age group by COVID-19 vaccination in 33 countries from December 2020 to November 2021, using weekly reported deaths and vaccination coverage. We esti­mated that vaccination averted 469,186 deaths (51% of 911,302 expected deaths; sensitivity range: 129,851–733,744; 23–62%). Impact by country ranged 6–93%, largest when implementation was early.

Original languageEnglish
Article number2101021
JournalEurosurveillance
Volume26
Issue number47
DOIs
StatePublished - 25 Nov 2021
Externally publishedYes

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Epidemiology
  • Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health
  • Virology

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