TY - JOUR
T1 - FDI and trade-Two-way linkages?
AU - Aizenman, Joshua
AU - Noy, Ilan
N1 - Funding Information:
We would like to thank Tom Flavin, Phil Lane, Brian Lucey, Andreas Nabor, Svitlana Voronkova, and the Third INFINITI conference participants (Dublin, June 2005) for their useful comments. Aizenman would like to thank the support of the Faculty Research Funds, UC Santa Cruz. Noy would like to thank the East West Center for financial support. Any errors are ours.
PY - 2006/7/1
Y1 - 2006/7/1
N2 - We investigate the intertemporal linkages between foreign direct investment and disaggregated measures of international trade. We outline a model exemplifying these linkages, describe methods for investigating two-way feedbacks between various categories of trade, and apply them to recent data. We find that the strongest feedback between the sub-accounts is between FDI and manufacturing trade. For the first time, we decompose causality using Geweke's [Geweke, J. (1982). Measurement of linear dependence and feedback between multiple time series. Journal of the American Statistical Association 77(378), 304-313] decomposition method. We find that most of the linear feedback between trade and FDI can be accounted for by Granger-causality from FDI gross flows to trade openness (50%) and from trade to FDI (31%).
AB - We investigate the intertemporal linkages between foreign direct investment and disaggregated measures of international trade. We outline a model exemplifying these linkages, describe methods for investigating two-way feedbacks between various categories of trade, and apply them to recent data. We find that the strongest feedback between the sub-accounts is between FDI and manufacturing trade. For the first time, we decompose causality using Geweke's [Geweke, J. (1982). Measurement of linear dependence and feedback between multiple time series. Journal of the American Statistical Association 77(378), 304-313] decomposition method. We find that most of the linear feedback between trade and FDI can be accounted for by Granger-causality from FDI gross flows to trade openness (50%) and from trade to FDI (31%).
KW - Commercial openness
KW - Financial openness
KW - Foreign direct investment
KW - Trade
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=33745842219&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1016/j.qref.2006.02.004
DO - 10.1016/j.qref.2006.02.004
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:33745842219
SN - 1062-9769
VL - 46
SP - 317
EP - 337
JO - Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance
JF - Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance
IS - 3
ER -