Abstract
We investigate the intertemporal linkages between foreign direct investment and disaggregated measures of international trade. We outline a model exemplifying these linkages, describe methods for investigating two-way feedbacks between various categories of trade, and apply them to recent data. We find that the strongest feedback between the sub-accounts is between FDI and manufacturing trade. For the first time, we decompose causality using Geweke's [Geweke, J. (1982). Measurement of linear dependence and feedback between multiple time series. Journal of the American Statistical Association 77(378), 304-313] decomposition method. We find that most of the linear feedback between trade and FDI can be accounted for by Granger-causality from FDI gross flows to trade openness (50%) and from trade to FDI (31%).
Original language | English |
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Pages (from-to) | 317-337 |
Number of pages | 21 |
Journal | Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance |
Volume | 46 |
Issue number | 3 |
DOIs | |
State | Published - 1 Jul 2006 |
Externally published | Yes |
Keywords
- Commercial openness
- Financial openness
- Foreign direct investment
- Trade
ASJC Scopus subject areas
- Finance
- Economics and Econometrics