Low temperature and low UV indexes correlated with peaks of influenza virus activity in northern europe during 2010–2018

Aleksandr Ianevski; Eva Zusinaite; Nastassia Shtaida; Hannimari Kallio-Kokko; Miia Valkonen; Anu Kantele; Kaidi Telling; Irja Lutsar; Pille Letjuka; Natalja Metelitsa; Valentyn Oksenych; Uga Dumpis; Astra Vitkauskiene; Kestutis Stašaitis; Christina Öhrmalm; Kåre Bondeson; Anders Bergqvist; Rebecca J. Cox; Tanel Tenson; Andres Merits; Denis E. Kainov

doi:10.3390/v11030207

Low temperature and low UV indexes correlated with peaks of influenza virus activity in northern europe during 2010–2018

Aleksandr Ianevski, Eva Zusinaite, Nastassia Shtaida, Hannimari Kallio-Kokko, Miia Valkonen, Anu Kantele, Kaidi Telling, Irja Lutsar, Pille Letjuka, Natalja Metelitsa, Valentyn Oksenych, Uga Dumpis, Astra Vitkauskiene, Kestutis Stašaitis, Christina Öhrmalm, Kåre Bondeson, Anders Bergqvist, Rebecca J. Cox, Tanel Tenson, Andres MeritsDenis E. Kainov

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

67 Scopus citations

Abstract

With the increasing pace of global warming, it is important to understand the role of meteorological factors in influenza virus (IV) epidemics. In this study, we investigated the impact of temperature, UV index, humidity, wind speed, atmospheric pressure, and precipitation on IV activity in Norway, Sweden, Finland, Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania during 2010–2018. Both correlation and machine learning analyses revealed that low temperature and UV indexes were the most predictive meteorological factors for IV epidemics in Northern Europe. Our in vitro experiments confirmed that low temperature and UV radiation preserved IV infectivity. Associations between these meteorological factors and IV activity could improve surveillance and promote development of accurate predictive models for future influenza outbreaks in the region.

Original language	English
Article number	207
Journal	Viruses
Volume	11
Issue number	3
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.3390/v11030207
State	Published - 1 Mar 2019
Externally published	Yes

Keywords

Epidemics
Influenza
Temperature
UV
Weather

ASJC Scopus subject areas

Infectious Diseases
Virology

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

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10.3390/v11030207

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Ianevski, A., Zusinaite, E., Shtaida, N., Kallio-Kokko, H., Valkonen, M., Kantele, A., Telling, K., Lutsar, I., Letjuka, P., Metelitsa, N., Oksenych, V., Dumpis, U., Vitkauskiene, A., Stašaitis, K., Öhrmalm, C., Bondeson, K., Bergqvist, A., Cox, R. J., Tenson, T., ... Kainov, D. E. (2019). Low temperature and low UV indexes correlated with peaks of influenza virus activity in northern europe during 2010–2018. Viruses, 11(3), Article 207. https://doi.org/10.3390/v11030207

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title = "Low temperature and low UV indexes correlated with peaks of influenza virus activity in northern europe during 2010–2018",

abstract = "With the increasing pace of global warming, it is important to understand the role of meteorological factors in influenza virus (IV) epidemics. In this study, we investigated the impact of temperature, UV index, humidity, wind speed, atmospheric pressure, and precipitation on IV activity in Norway, Sweden, Finland, Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania during 2010–2018. Both correlation and machine learning analyses revealed that low temperature and UV indexes were the most predictive meteorological factors for IV epidemics in Northern Europe. Our in vitro experiments confirmed that low temperature and UV radiation preserved IV infectivity. Associations between these meteorological factors and IV activity could improve surveillance and promote development of accurate predictive models for future influenza outbreaks in the region.",

keywords = "Epidemics, Influenza, Temperature, UV, Weather",

author = "Aleksandr Ianevski and Eva Zusinaite and Nastassia Shtaida and Hannimari Kallio-Kokko and Miia Valkonen and Anu Kantele and Kaidi Telling and Irja Lutsar and Pille Letjuka and Natalja Metelitsa and Valentyn Oksenych and Uga Dumpis and Astra Vitkauskiene and Kestutis Sta{\v s}aitis and Christina {\"O}hrmalm and K{\aa}re Bondeson and Anders Bergqvist and Cox, {Rebecca J.} and Tanel Tenson and Andres Merits and Kainov, {Denis E.}",

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year = "2019",

month = mar,

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doi = "10.3390/v11030207",

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Ianevski, A, Zusinaite, E, Shtaida, N, Kallio-Kokko, H, Valkonen, M, Kantele, A, Telling, K, Lutsar, I, Letjuka, P, Metelitsa, N, Oksenych, V, Dumpis, U, Vitkauskiene, A, Stašaitis, K, Öhrmalm, C, Bondeson, K, Bergqvist, A, Cox, RJ, Tenson, T, Merits, A & Kainov, DE 2019, 'Low temperature and low UV indexes correlated with peaks of influenza virus activity in northern europe during 2010–2018', Viruses, vol. 11, no. 3, 207. https://doi.org/10.3390/v11030207

TY - JOUR

T1 - Low temperature and low UV indexes correlated with peaks of influenza virus activity in northern europe during 2010–2018

AU - Ianevski, Aleksandr

AU - Zusinaite, Eva

AU - Shtaida, Nastassia

AU - Kallio-Kokko, Hannimari

AU - Valkonen, Miia

AU - Kantele, Anu

AU - Telling, Kaidi

AU - Lutsar, Irja

AU - Letjuka, Pille

AU - Metelitsa, Natalja

AU - Oksenych, Valentyn

AU - Dumpis, Uga

AU - Vitkauskiene, Astra

AU - Stašaitis, Kestutis

AU - Öhrmalm, Christina

AU - Bondeson, Kåre

AU - Bergqvist, Anders

AU - Cox, Rebecca J.

AU - Tenson, Tanel

AU - Merits, Andres

AU - Kainov, Denis E.

PY - 2019/3/1

Y1 - 2019/3/1

N2 - With the increasing pace of global warming, it is important to understand the role of meteorological factors in influenza virus (IV) epidemics. In this study, we investigated the impact of temperature, UV index, humidity, wind speed, atmospheric pressure, and precipitation on IV activity in Norway, Sweden, Finland, Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania during 2010–2018. Both correlation and machine learning analyses revealed that low temperature and UV indexes were the most predictive meteorological factors for IV epidemics in Northern Europe. Our in vitro experiments confirmed that low temperature and UV radiation preserved IV infectivity. Associations between these meteorological factors and IV activity could improve surveillance and promote development of accurate predictive models for future influenza outbreaks in the region.

AB - With the increasing pace of global warming, it is important to understand the role of meteorological factors in influenza virus (IV) epidemics. In this study, we investigated the impact of temperature, UV index, humidity, wind speed, atmospheric pressure, and precipitation on IV activity in Norway, Sweden, Finland, Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania during 2010–2018. Both correlation and machine learning analyses revealed that low temperature and UV indexes were the most predictive meteorological factors for IV epidemics in Northern Europe. Our in vitro experiments confirmed that low temperature and UV radiation preserved IV infectivity. Associations between these meteorological factors and IV activity could improve surveillance and promote development of accurate predictive models for future influenza outbreaks in the region.

KW - Epidemics

KW - Influenza

KW - Temperature

KW - UV

KW - Weather

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U2 - 10.3390/v11030207

DO - 10.3390/v11030207

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C2 - 30832226

AN - SCOPUS:85062400929

SN - 1999-4915

VL - 11

JO - Viruses

JF - Viruses

IS - 3

M1 - 207

ER -

Low temperature and low UV indexes correlated with peaks of influenza virus activity in northern europe during 2010–2018

Abstract

Keywords

ASJC Scopus subject areas

UN SDGs

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