Overprecision in judgment

Don A. Moore; Elizabeth R. Tenney; Uriel Haran

doi:10.1002/9781118468333.ch6

Overprecision in judgment

Don A. Moore, Elizabeth R. Tenney, Uriel Haran

Department of Management

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceeding › Chapter › peer-review

73 Scopus citations

Abstract

Overprecision in judgment is both the most durable and the least understood form of overconfidence. This chapter reviews the evidence on overprecision, highlighting its consequences in everyday life and for our understanding the psychology of uncertainty. There are some interesting explanations for overprecision, but none fully accounts for the diversity of the evidence. Overprecision remains an important phenomenon in search of a full explanation.

Original language	English
Title of host publication	The Wiley Blackwell Handbook of Judgment and Decision Making
Publisher	wiley
Pages	182-209
Number of pages	28
ISBN (Electronic)	9781118468333
ISBN (Print)	9781118468395
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1002/9781118468333.ch6
State	Published - 1 Jan 2015

Keywords

Miscalibration
Overconfidence
Overprecision

ASJC Scopus subject areas

General Psychology

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10.1002/9781118468333.ch6

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abstract = "Overprecision in judgment is both the most durable and the least understood form of overconfidence. This chapter reviews the evidence on overprecision, highlighting its consequences in everyday life and for our understanding the psychology of uncertainty. There are some interesting explanations for overprecision, but none fully accounts for the diversity of the evidence. Overprecision remains an important phenomenon in search of a full explanation.",

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AB - Overprecision in judgment is both the most durable and the least understood form of overconfidence. This chapter reviews the evidence on overprecision, highlighting its consequences in everyday life and for our understanding the psychology of uncertainty. There are some interesting explanations for overprecision, but none fully accounts for the diversity of the evidence. Overprecision remains an important phenomenon in search of a full explanation.

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Overprecision in judgment

Abstract

Keywords

ASJC Scopus subject areas

Access to Document

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