Overprecision in judgment is both the most durable and the least understood form of overconfidence. This chapter reviews the evidence on overprecision, highlighting its consequences in everyday life and for our understanding the psychology of uncertainty. There are some interesting explanations for overprecision, but none fully accounts for the diversity of the evidence. Overprecision remains an important phenomenon in search of a full explanation.
|Title of host publication||The Wiley Blackwell Handbook of Judgment and Decision Making|
|Number of pages||28|
|State||Published - 1 Jan 2015|
ASJC Scopus subject areas
- Psychology (all)