Overprecision in judgment

Don A. Moore, Elizabeth R. Tenney, Uriel Haran

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingChapterpeer-review

37 Scopus citations

Abstract

Overprecision in judgment is both the most durable and the least understood form of overconfidence. This chapter reviews the evidence on overprecision, highlighting its consequences in everyday life and for our understanding the psychology of uncertainty. There are some interesting explanations for overprecision, but none fully accounts for the diversity of the evidence. Overprecision remains an important phenomenon in search of a full explanation.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationThe Wiley Blackwell Handbook of Judgment and Decision Making
Publisherwiley
Pages182-209
Number of pages28
ISBN (Electronic)9781118468333
ISBN (Print)9781118468395
DOIs
StatePublished - 1 Jan 2015

Keywords

  • Miscalibration
  • Overconfidence
  • Overprecision

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