TY - JOUR
T1 - Teleconnections among tipping elements in the Earth system
AU - Liu, Teng
AU - Chen, Dean
AU - Yang, Lan
AU - Meng, Jun
AU - Wang, Zanchenling
AU - Ludescher, Josef
AU - Fan, Jingfang
AU - Yang, Saini
AU - Chen, Deliang
AU - Kurths, Jürgen
AU - Chen, Xiaosong
AU - Havlin, Shlomo
AU - Schellnhuber, Hans Joachim
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
© 2023, The Author(s).
PY - 2023/1/1
Y1 - 2023/1/1
N2 - Tipping elements are components of the Earth system that may shift abruptly and irreversibly from one state to another at specific thresholds. It is not well understood to what degree tipping of one system can influence other regions or tipping elements. Here, we propose a climate network approach to analyse the global impacts of a prominent tipping element, the Amazon Rainforest Area (ARA). We find that the ARA exhibits strong correlations with regions such as the Tibetan Plateau (TP) and West Antarctic ice sheet. Models show that the identified teleconnection propagation path between the ARA and the TP is robust under climate change. In addition, we detect that TP snow cover extent has been losing stability since 2008. We further uncover that various climate extremes between the ARA and the TP are synchronized under climate change. Our framework highlights that tipping elements can be linked and also the potential predictability of cascading tipping dynamics.
AB - Tipping elements are components of the Earth system that may shift abruptly and irreversibly from one state to another at specific thresholds. It is not well understood to what degree tipping of one system can influence other regions or tipping elements. Here, we propose a climate network approach to analyse the global impacts of a prominent tipping element, the Amazon Rainforest Area (ARA). We find that the ARA exhibits strong correlations with regions such as the Tibetan Plateau (TP) and West Antarctic ice sheet. Models show that the identified teleconnection propagation path between the ARA and the TP is robust under climate change. In addition, we detect that TP snow cover extent has been losing stability since 2008. We further uncover that various climate extremes between the ARA and the TP are synchronized under climate change. Our framework highlights that tipping elements can be linked and also the potential predictability of cascading tipping dynamics.
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85145742776&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1038/s41558-022-01558-4
DO - 10.1038/s41558-022-01558-4
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:85145742776
SN - 1758-678X
VL - 13
SP - 67
EP - 74
JO - Nature Climate Change
JF - Nature Climate Change
IS - 1
ER -