The impact of technological and market uncertainty on innovative development processes

Dov Dvir, Arik Sadeh

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionpeer-review

Abstract

Innovations in products, new services and infrastructure have become a necessity for the survival and sustainability of modern organizations. In this study the impact of technological and market uncertainty on the success of new ventures is investigated. The effect of some personal characteristics of entrepreneurs on their choice of the new venture is treated as well. The study uses a two dimensional framework to assess the level of uncertainty new ventures are facing. The novelty dimension that reflects market uncertainty, mainly affects the way information about the customers' needs and desires is collected and incorporated into the product design. The technology dimension, deals mainly with the way the development process should be managed. Higher levels of technological uncertainty require longer development periods, more design cycles and later design freeze. The impact of technological and market uncertainty on the performance of 160 innovations is analyzed. For example, we found that there is no contradiction between high levels of uncertainty and business success. Moreover, high levels of uncertainty may yield business opportunities that may not be available for low level technological uncertainty innovations. We also found that older and more educated entrepreneurs are likely to be engaged in more novel initiatives than younger, less experienced ones.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationPICMET 2017 - Portland International Conference on Management of Engineering and Technology
Subtitle of host publicationTechnology Management for the Interconnected World, Proceedings
EditorsTimothy R. Anderson, Kiyoshi Niwa, Dundar F. Kocaoglu, Tugrul U. Daim, Dilek Cetindamar Kozanoglu, Gary Perman, Harm-Jan Steenhuis
PublisherInstitute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.
Pages1-5
Number of pages5
ISBN (Electronic)9781890843366
DOIs
StatePublished - 29 Nov 2017
Externally publishedYes
Event2017 Portland International Conference on Management of Engineering and Technology, PICMET 2017 - Portland, United States
Duration: 9 Jul 201713 Jul 2017

Publication series

NamePICMET 2017 - Portland International Conference on Management of Engineering and Technology: Technology Management for the Interconnected World, Proceedings
Volume2017-January

Conference

Conference2017 Portland International Conference on Management of Engineering and Technology, PICMET 2017
Country/TerritoryUnited States
CityPortland
Period9/07/1713/07/17

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Law
  • Management of Technology and Innovation
  • Strategy and Management
  • Decision Sciences (miscellaneous)
  • Management Science and Operations Research
  • Engineering (miscellaneous)
  • Education

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