@article{e74af8a70153407487c9c139b54ec73b,
title = "The role of models in the covid-19 pandemic",
abstract = "Mathematical and statistical models have played an important role in the analysis of data from COVID-19. They are important for tracking the progress of the pandemic, for understanding its spread in the population, and perhaps most significantly for forecasting the future course of the pandemic and evaluating potential policy options. This article describes the types of models that were used by research teams in Israel, presents their assumptions and basic elements, and illustrates how they were used, and how they influenced decisions. The article grew out of a “modelists{\textquoteright} dialog” organized by the Israel National Institute for Health Policy Research with participation from some of the leaders in the local modeling effort.",
keywords = "Agent-Based models, Data Analysis, Forecasting, Nowcasting, SIR Model, Statistics",
author = "Steinberg, \{David M.\} and Balicer, \{Ran D.\} and Yoav Benjamini and Hilla De-Leon and Doron Gazit and Hagai Rossman and Eli Sprecher",
note = "Funding Information: The authors thank the National Institute for Health Policy Research for organizing and hosting the Modelists{\textquoteright} Dialog. The speakers at the meeting all worked within larger research groups and want to acknowledge the important contributions of their colleagues to the modeling efforts. Hilla De-Leon: Francesco Pederiva, Dvir Aran and Barak Ravah. Doron Gazit: Ronit Calderon-Margalit, Yinon Ashkenazy, Ran Nir-Paz and Nadav Katz. Hagai Rossman: Tomer Meir, Smadar Shilo, Eran Segal, Jonathan Somer, Rom Gutman, Uri Shalit, Asaf Ben Arie and Malka Gorfine. Eli Sprecher: Noa Geismar, Tal Kozlovski, Sara Feldman, Ofer Sarig, Avishay Spitzer, Amit Hammer, Yoav Benjamini, Yuval Benjamini, Isaac Meilijson, Lior Nissim, Dor Simkin and Tzviel Frostig. Publisher Copyright: {\textcopyright} 2022, The Author(s).",
year = "2022",
month = dec,
day = "1",
doi = "10.1186/s13584-022-00546-5",
language = "English",
volume = "11",
journal = "Israel Journal of Health Policy Research",
issn = "2045-4015",
publisher = "BioMed Central Ltd.",
number = "1",
}
