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When to stop? That is the question

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    1 Scopus citations

    Abstract

    When to make a decision is a key question in decision making problems characterized by uncertainty. In this paper we deal with decision making in environments where the information arrives dynamically. We address the tradeoff between waiting and stopping strategies. On the one hand, waiting to obtain more information reduces the uncertainty, but it comes with a cost. On the other hand, stopping and making a decision based on an expected utility, decreases the cost of waiting, but the decision is made based on uncertain information. In this paper, we prove that computing the optimal time to make a decision that guarantees the optimal utility is NP-hard. We propose a pessimistic approximation that guarantees an optimal decision when the recommendation is to wait. We empirically evaluate our algorithm and show that the quality of the decision is near-optimal and much faster than the optimal algorithm.

    Original languageEnglish
    Title of host publicationAAAI-11 / IAAI-11 - Proceedings of the 25th AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence and the 23rd Innovative Applications of Artificial Intelligence Conference
    Pages1063-1068
    Number of pages6
    StatePublished - 2 Nov 2011
    Event25th AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence and the 23rd Innovative Applications of Artificial Intelligence Conference, AAAI-11 / IAAI-11 - San Francisco, CA, United States
    Duration: 7 Aug 201111 Aug 2011

    Publication series

    NameProceedings of the National Conference on Artificial Intelligence
    Volume2

    Conference

    Conference25th AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence and the 23rd Innovative Applications of Artificial Intelligence Conference, AAAI-11 / IAAI-11
    Country/TerritoryUnited States
    CitySan Francisco, CA
    Period7/08/1111/08/11

    ASJC Scopus subject areas

    • Software
    • Artificial Intelligence

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